What do you base these assumptions on? Do you have any data to back them up?
The .40 all but disappearing? .45 relegated to only 1911's? Yes, 9mm outsells the others, but that doesn't mean anything is disappearing."
I do believe the .40 will all but disappear. Now I suppose I should define what I mean by "all but disappear." I don't think it will disappear, that was the reason for the "all but" part of the sentence. What I mean is that it will go the way of the .357 Sig and 10mm. They are still both there but they are pretty insignificant in the world of duty weapons. If you actually read what I said I never said that the .45 would be relegated to only 1911's. I actually said that just by itself the 1911 would keep the .45 as an in use defensive round. I never mentioned other guns not using it at all. As far as my sources or reasons, the FBI is a big reason, once they decided to drop the .40 for the 9mm and published their reasoning that was a pretty good indicator of things to come, agree with them or not. In the meantime several other large agencies have followed suit or are about to. Studies on round effectiveness are pretty convincing, take a look at Federal's load comparison for the HST for example, it's very easy to navigate. Here's some more reading if you're interested on the subject:
https://www.americanrifleman.org/art...he-40-sw-dead/
http://www.tactical-life.com/firearm...choose-9mm-40/
http://www.tactical-life.com/gear/45.../#bsum-buffoni
http://www.thebangswitch.com/the-fading-40/
http://concealednation.org/2014/10/f...heir-decision/
http://thepoliticsforums.com/threads...s-over-9mm-won
http://www.usacarry.com/why-agencies-switching-9mm/
I'm not saying it will happen over night, but all factors seem to point to the .40 going the way of .357 Sig (hey Secret Service still like it) in the not too distant future. .45 will still be around but I'm betting it will be used in military and LE service and serious shooters at a fraction of the rate of 9mm.
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