Permanent cavity appears to be the primary factor in handgun and shotgun projectile effectiveness; so, I did a few calculations on total wound channel for a few of handgun calibers, along with 00 buck and #1 buck.
I believe Dr. Roberts has stated that good 9mm ammunition expands, on average, to about 0.60" while .40 cal. expands to an average of 0.65" and .45 ACP to 0.70". Full expansion occurs in the first one-to-two inches of penetration; so, assuming full expansion for all penetration will not make a material difference.
With 12 inches of penetration in all cases, I get the following results:
17 rounds of 9mm give total wound channel of 57.7 cubic inches.
15 rounds of .40 cal. give total wound channel of 59.7 cubic inches, and
13 rounds of .45 ACP give total wound channel of 60.0 cubic inches.
One round of 3" mag. #1 buck (24 pellets) gives total wound channel of 20.4 cubic inches.
One round of 3" mag. 00 buck (15 pellets) gives total wound channel of 15.4 cubic inches.
Now, with the enormously heroic assumption that in a deadly force encounter a shooter can make all good hits, we get the approximate equalities:
18 rounds of 9mm, 15 rounds of .40 cal., 13 rounds of .45 ACP, 4 rounds of 3" 00 buck, and 3 rounds of 3" #1 buck all yield approximately the same total wound channel.
Another way of looking at it is: 6 solid hits with 9mm, 5 solid hits with .40 cal., 4 solid hits with .45 ACP, and one solid hit with 3" mag. #1 buck all have approximately equivalent total wound channel.
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