Originally Posted by
FromMyColdDeadHand
Exactly. It all depends on how effective the vaccine is and how fast each version loses effectiveness. More people vaccinated and with acquired immunity- or at least better immuno response. Like carbon rods in a reactor, one doesn't make that much of a difference, get enough and they slow everything down.
50% effective is probably about right, we get new tweaks every year. We lose 40-70,000 people a year to the flu, so maybe you end up with Covid killing 400,000 from March to March and then 200,000 winter 2021-22 and 100,000ish winter 2022-23, and the new normal is 90-140,000 per year. We've lived for decades with half of that with out really batting an eye.
I don't get what you mean...