Originally Posted by
georgeib
More like we won a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion lotteries. At some point, based on the Occam's razor alone, it becomes obviously more likely.
The example I've heard commonly used is if you were overlooking a city of a trillion households at night, and all of a sudden ALL the lights, in every house, turned off at the exact same instant. Is it more likely that a trillion people turned off their lights at the same time, or that there was a power outage? I mean, both are possible, right? But one is almost infinitely more likely.