Originally Posted by
Sensei
That is an interesting take on his post Steyr. I took it at face value that he he was calling the polling data worthless, and then trying to rewrite history to support an inaccurate conclusion. However, I'll go with your optimistic view since I'm sitting in Santorini - topless Europeans bring out the optimist in me too.
It's just what I assumed he was saying, I can still recall people demanding the scrap the electoral college after the 2000 election and have a pure democracy because "their guy" didn't win.
Originally Posted by
Sensei
Here is what I believe. The polling data is just that - data. Individually, its usefulness is rather limited; in aggregate and over time it is actually very powerful. There are other forms of data such as fund raising, volunteer staff on hand, etc. All of this data is very public and easy to find with just a rudimentary understanding of Google. I find it very useful (i.e. predictive power) when multiple sources such as opinion polling and fund raising are headed in the same direction, but your milage may vary.
No argument, to me polling numbers are slightly more accurate than 5 day weather forecasts.
Originally Posted by
Sensei
So, I get curious when I read posts like "Trump is going to do well with older women and gays." It's just a little disappointing that the data behind such opinions amounts to something like, "My mother's, sister's girlfriend is a lesbian who thinks that Trump is the best thing since cordless vibrators. Therefore, I think that he will do well with older women and the gay vote." It's almost like someone put up a single 3-round target claiming that Bushmasters shoot sub-MOA with M855.
It's the internet. To some people a sample of 5 is representative of the national view. It really is the least of our concerns right now.
Originally Posted by
austinN4
Trump said to be vetting Christie for VP. Does that change anyone's mind one way or another?
I have a short list of people I despise more than Christie, but Hillary Clinton is on it and so is her possible VP Elizabeth Warren. As a result this continues to be an easy decision. I'm trying to see this as a "business decision" where Trump taps a RINO for establishment support with the knowledge that VPs are essentially powerless. That said, I'd rather have him tap Cruz for VP than Christie. It would send a similar message without rewarding a hardcore RINO.
It's hard to be a ACLU hating, philosophically Libertarian, socially liberal, fiscally conservative, scientifically grounded, agnostic, porn admiring gun owner who believes in self determination.
Chuck, we miss ya man.
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