Mid Terms - Thoughts - Pedictions - Aftermath

[tb-av]

VA - 7th District

Spanberger vs Brat --- Really pissed to see what Brat referred to as 'outside money' bring in an exCIA agent that has nothing to say but "I'll do this, and I did that" All she can talk about is her CIA career which she tried to hide but was uncovered in a FOIA request that the Post Office screwed up. She apparently taught at a high school that turned out some pretty bad terrorists.

If you know anyone that lives in the corridor of Central VA from Chesterfield up through Richmond and out west to Goochland... call them and tell them to vote.


Texas - Looks like Real Clear Politics has given Cruz the lead over that Beto guy. Which seems like just another situation of outsiders throwing anything against the wall just to defeat an R. Not caring that their candidate has no skills.


Odds look ok at best for NV, MO, FL, AZ . Need more weight though. MT doesn't look good.... 1 out of 5 to retain control if the rest are valid.

SENATE D-44 ==== TossUp-6 ==== R-50
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...enate_map.html


THE HOUSE --- or perhaps HOUSE OF HORRORS --- I don;t know what to think about this one.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...house_map.html

GOVERNORS --- This looks like a disaster.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...ernor_map.html

[Doc Safari]

Red Wave. After the Cavanaugh debacle I see pitchforks and torches being carried by Republicans everywhere.

[austinN4]

Texas - Looks like Real Clear Politics has given Cruz the lead over that Beto guy. Which seems like just another situation of outsiders throwing anything against the wall just to defeat an R. Not caring that their candidate has no skills.

Beto O’Rourke raises $38 million in 3rd quarter: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaig...in-3rd-quarter

[Circle_10]

Red Wave. After the Cavanaugh debacle I see pitchforks and torches being carried by Republicans everywhere.

Maybe if the Dems had succeeded in blocking him. But instead, the Right will forget all about it by November while the Left, amped up and pissed off, will turn out in droves.

Strategically speaking, it might conceivably have been better to sacrifice Kavanaugh, allowing the endless Dem stalling tactics to stoke the righteous fury of voters, facilitating the GOP maintaining control of the legislature, then coming up with a new nominee after the elections.
Of course, the flip side is, if that turns out to not be enough, and the GOP loses control anyway, now by hypothetically allowing Kavanaugh to go down as collateral damage, the chance to get any decent SCOTUS nominees confirmed would have passed too.

So maybe the safest bet was to go the route they did.
Everything is a gamble I guess.

The only thing I'm sure of is that this country's best days are behind it. Mine too I suspect. I can't wait to go vote for a party I dislike in order to try and keep a party I hate out of power for just a little bit longer...

[SomeOtherGuy]

Maybe if the Dems had succeeded in blocking him. But instead, the Right will forget all about it by November while the Left, amped up and pissed off, will turn out in droves.

I completely disagree. No one on the right who cared about Kavanaugh in September will have forgotten. However, the same will generally be true on the left.

So hard to predict any election, but especially this year. I think the biggest factor will be which side's reliable voters care enough to show up. At the moment I think much of the D base won't be caring much. The R base probably has been re-energized by Kavanaugh's ordeal. The Dems probably gained fewer swing or lazy votes from Kavanaugh than the Reps did.

[Circle_10]

I completely disagree. No one on the right who cared about Kavanaugh in September will have forgotten. However, the same will generally be true on the left.

So hard to predict any election, but especially this year. I think the biggest factor will be which side's reliable voters care enough to show up. At the moment I think much of the D base won't be caring much. The R base probably has been re-energized by Kavanaugh's ordeal. The Dems probably gained fewer swing or lazy votes from Kavanaugh than the Reps did.

I derive exactly zero satisfaction from being right in these situations, so I hope your theory is the correct one and I'm proven spectacularly wrong.

[tb-av]

Strategically speaking, it might conceivably have been better to sacrifice Kavanaugh,

I've always thought that sounded like a Dem plan.

As fast as politics is changing and with the history of 2016 telling us we are out numbered by foot soldiers ( voters ) but not by generals ( electoral votes ) , Trump did the exact right thing. Get Kavanaugh in. Every other past R would have folded at their bluff.

Even if we lose every election from now on out we have him in with some equally powerful associates. AND we know that one of theirs is getting ready for the big sleep.

I would rather put my faith in two givens.. Trump and Kavanaugh than expect some specific retaliatory result across all of America.

I don't know about a RED Wave. We could certainly add a couple seats just as a 50/50 coin flip. The House... I'll be happy if the tide just comes back in to the 218 water line, much less a wave that takes us past the 236 we have now.

The Dems are out for blood. They will do --anything-- at this point.

[flenna]

I've always thought that sounded like a Dem plan.

As fast as politics is changing and with the history of 2016 telling us we are out numbered by foot soldiers ( voters ) but not by generals ( electoral votes ) , Trump did the exact right thing. Get Kavanaugh in. Every other past R would have folded at their bluff.

Even if we lose every election from now on out we have him in with some equally powerful associates. AND we know that one of theirs is getting ready for the big sleep.

I would rather put my faith in two givens.. Trump and Kavanaugh than expect some specific retaliatory result across all of America.

I don't know about a RED Wave. We could certainly add a couple seats just as a 50/50 coin flip. The House... I'll be happy if the tide just comes back in to the 218 water line, much less a wave that takes us past the 236 we have now.

The Dems are out for blood. They will do --anything-- at this point.

The Dems only party platform: “We hate Trump and will impeach him”.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/dem...dterms-settles


And the Democratic gubernatorial candidate for GA wants to bring out the illegal alien vote to win.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/geo...ted-immigrants

[tb-av]

Alec Baldwin - Overthrow the Trump government via voting.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/celebri...D=ansmsnnews11


ETA:
Olivia Wilde stumps for mom in VA

Notice her husband is a SNL actor.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...id/1583646002/

====== Where do they get these people from?
====== Come on mom, are you that stupid? https://www.dailywire.com/news/33748...e-kassy-dillon
======https://www.conservativereview.com/news/democratic-candidate-who-attacked-opponent-on-bigfoot-erotica-says-we-should-negotiate-with-the-taliban/

[RetroRevolver77]

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