Originally Posted by
Joe Mamma
Deep pockets, ha ha.
So let's look at my numbers in the context of the numbers in your post:
With a rifle length gas system, you say it is on average 13,000-15,000 before a bolt failure (based on the numbers you quoted). So if someone plans to go to 14,000 rounds on the same bolt, half the time they will not make it because they will have a bolt failure. Replacing it at 10,000 rounds as preventative maintenance seems like a very good time to do it.
With a carbine length gas system, it is more complicated. The M4 military carbine length gas system is used with a 14.5 inch length barrel. Outside of a military setting (in the United States), a carbine length gas system is almost always used with a 16 inch barrel. The slightly longer barrel, and specifically the significantly longer dwell time (about 20% longer if my memory is correct), is much harder on the bolt. It's one reason why there were often extraction problems with 16 inch barrels until different inserts, o-rings, and better extractor springs came into common use. Another reason is larger than M4 spec gas ports on 16” barrels (to help cycling some lower quality consumer ammo) which is also harder on bolts.
Again, the 10,000 to 12,000 round number means (theoretically, in this data set, etc.) that if you try to go to 11,000 rounds, half the time you will not make it because of bolt failure. So as preventative maintenance, someone should go for what number, maybe 8,000 rounds? And that would be for a more gentle military carbine system with a 14.5" barrel.
But with a carbine length gas system and the much more common 16" barrel and often larger gas ports (which have been shown to be significantly harder on bolts than the military M4 setup) that round count number would be significantly less. Also, if you spend some time looking around, you will see evidence from reliable sources (military and civilian) of bolts breaking with carbine length gas systems at a significantly lower numbers (and no I am not going to research that for you). So the 5,000 round number still sounds very good.
One thing I did not mention is that my parts replacement schedule has a 1,000 round “cushion” built in to everything. This means that if you should replace a part at let's say 2,500 rounds, you can probably comfortably go to 3,500 rounds. I know that sounds like a big difference. But this covers a situation where it's right before you should replace the part, but you unexpectedly want to grab it and go to a shooting class, weekend of shooting with friends, SHTF situation, or whatever without replacing it. I think 1,000 rounds is a reasonable (and reasonably necessary) amount.
Regarding your “top 4” list, I am not sure if you are suggesting barrels should be replaced before bolts or if you simply cut and pasted from an alphabetical list. But I think it would be wrong to replace barrels before bolts unless you consider things like rate of fire, barrel material (stainless, chrome moly, chrome lining, nitriding, etc.) ammo type, etc.
Joe Mamma
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