Iran launches drone attack on Israel

[CrowCommand]

I’m betting nothing burger. Bunch of pussies.

[chuckman]

It looks like Iran put out a message that said "we good", hoping against an Israeli counter strike. Iran has basically telegraphed its intentions for days, so.it sounds very choreographed and not very secret, in an attempt to allow Israel to have maximum preparation and so they wouldn't feel like they have to retaliate.

[ABNAK]

Remember when we whacked Soleimani a little over 4 years ago outside BIAP? There was a missile attack on U.S. forces in Iraq; a few TBI's but no fatalities. Then they were done. I would say we got the better of that deal.

I despise Iran big-time, but perhaps at high levels things are "telegraphed" beforehand so as to avoid an incident that would compel your adversary to ramp-up the response. Israel whacks that Iranian POS and Iran sends some shit their way since they basically had to for international as well as internal reasons. So far the cost to Israel has been negligible. A blow is struck by Israel, Iran swings back with a grazing punch, and both yell "Yeah, well fvck you, try that shit again" and then walk away. Win-win for the world.

Chuckman......I was typing my response out as you were posting yours. Spot on and apparently in total agreement!

[Slater]

Iran probably knows that most of these drones won't get through to their targets. But they have to be seen as doing something to avenge the bombing of their embassy.

[SteyrAUG]

Remember when we whacked Soleimani a little over 4 years ago outside BIAP? There was a missile attack on U.S. forces in Iraq; a few TBI's but no fatalities. Then they were done. I would say we got the better of that deal.

I despise Iran big-time, but perhaps at high levels things are "telegraphed" beforehand so as to avoid an incident that would compel your adversary to ramp-up the response. Israel whacks that Iranian POS and Iran sends some shit their way since they basically had to for international as well as internal reasons. So far the cost to Israel has been negligible. A blow is struck by Israel, Iran swings back with a grazing punch, and both yell "Yeah, well fvck you, try that shit again" and then walk away. Win-win for the world.

Chuckman......I was typing my response out as you were posting yours. Spot on and apparently in total agreement!

Logically I'm in agreement. But as this is one of those few times we aren't standing on Israel's dick in order to maintain some multinational coalition, they really ought to take the opportunity to scratch Iran off their "to do" list, certainly all the Sunni muslim countries aren't gonna come running to their aid or start hating Israel any more than they already do.

Perhaps I'm biased, I've been sick of Iran's shit since 1979.

[FromMyColdDeadHand]

Was any of this launched directly from Iran, or just from poxy positions? The assymetry of Israel getting rocketed and attacked all the time, and nothing ever happening in IRan has to stop. When Iran starts to have buildings explode on the regular, that is when there might be a shift. If I were Israel , I'd tell teh EUand US that they had better back Israel, or else Iran would be removed from the global oil business for a generation.

[chuckman]

Was any of this launched directly from Iran, or just from poxy positions? The assymetry of Israel getting rocketed and attacked all the time, and nothing ever happening in IRan has to stop. When Iran starts to have buildings explode on the regular, that is when there might be a shift. If I were Israel , I'd tell teh EUand US that they had better back Israel, or else Iran would be removed from the global oil business for a generation.

All of it was launched by Iran, from Iran.

[utahjeepr]

Was any of this launched directly from Iran, or just from poxy positions? The assymetry of Israel getting rocketed and attacked all the time, and nothing ever happening in IRan has to stop. When Iran starts to have buildings explode on the regular, that is when there might be a shift. If I were Israel , I'd tell teh EUand US that they had better back Israel, or else Iran would be removed from the global oil business for a generation.

Not that I am exactly in the know, but I am hearing Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen cited as origin points. As far as BDA, I am hearing light damage. Haven't heard anything about military casualties but have heard of some civilian injuries arising from intercepts. As I said though, I am not privy to any inside scoop.

Not sure if Israel is gonna go at this hot and heavy. For one thing they have a job to finish in Gaza. Hezbollah is also acting sporty and Israel is having to put some effort into Lebanon and Syria to keep those proxies ducking. I would expect an increase in targeting against those proxies, especially source points involved in the Iranian strike.

Couple things to keep in mind.

The IDF is not particularly tooled up for force projection on a grand scale. I am sure they have more capacity than is openly discussed, but I don't expect they have the capacity for a prolonged campaign against Iran proper.

Israel has plenty of enemies a lot closer to home. My personal opinion is that they are better served for now by staying focused on that.

The current US administration and the EU are desperate to kiss up to Iran. They don't want this souring the milk. As alluded to by others, this Iranian strike smells a little like a coordinated stage play. Could be that everyone, including Israel, was in on the act as a face saving measure for Iran.

[ABNAK]

The current US administration and the EU are desperate to kiss up to Iran. They don't want this souring the milk. As alluded to by others, this Iranian strike smells a little like a coordinated stage play. Could be that everyone, including Israel, was in on the act as a face saving measure for Iran.

And I'm okay with that if it avoids a major war. Not saying Iran doesn't have one coming for decades of asshat behavior, but pretty sure Israel was behind whacking those IRGC shitheads at the consulate in Syria. Trump ordered the hit on Soleimani and Iran had a way to "save face".

Hell, a "way out" has been an option for many many years......although most people don't know it, JFK agreed to remove Jupiter missiles from Turkey in exchange for the Rooskies removing theirs from Cuba. The world thought Kruschev blinked (and maybe he did to a degree), but we offered something up too. That was also a good thing as it averted WWIII. Most of us would have never been born if that had happened.

Honestly, if Israel throws another punch it will be on the down-low. Some Iranian shithead might be mysteriously whacked in Iran (*cough* Mossad *cough*) while others will die in Syria and Lebanon over time.

[chuckman]

I don't buy that Israel was in on it in a way that they were colluding. What would have happened if they missed one or two of the missiles/drones? What country would allow that?