I think that every Republican candidate has supported repeal of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act as their first priority if elected. In addition, all of them (with the possible exception of Huntsman and Romney) have voiced their support for some form of the Fair Tax or consumption tax as the primary means to generate revenue. The question remains as to which candidates are willing to make tax reform their major priority after healthcare. Only Cain has made it a focal point of his campaign with the 9-9-9 Plan being a roadmap to the Fair Tax.
My point is that the healthcare debate is likely to turn nasty with close to 35% of the country wanting a single payor system and 46% favoring ObamaCare. I would not be surprised if some republican legislators from liberal states loose their seats as a result of the battle which would threaten the majorities needed to address other issues. Meaningful tax reform will likely require at least 1 constitutional amendment (balanced budget +/- some clarification of the 16th Amendment) which is nearly impossible with an evenly divided and polarized country. Perhaps the best changes of getting tax reform is if SCOTUS spares the republicans a lot of bloodshed by striking down the law without a legislative battle. This would provide the conservatives a lot more political capitol to be used on taxes and entitlements.
Thus, the next president will need to move quickly and not get stuck in the mud like Obama did after the healthcare debate. I have to give kudos to Cain for showing the balls to get in front of the issue with an actual plan before the other candidates. Sure, 9-9-9 has some warts, but it is unrealistic to think that we are going to someday wake-up with a Fair Tax without taking some risk and political causalities.


Reply With Quote



Bookmarks