Even without spin and psy ops, it's an estimate with a wide margin of error no doubt. Add in the need X country has to inflate/under report, the numbers, does not seem worth paying any real attention too. The Russians have won wars with a peer foe by throwing more bodies at it until the other side runs out of men and resources. I suspect modern weapons are too effective and efficient for that approach to win wars with, especially if your forces are not motivated to fight.
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