That is a risky gamble on their behalf. It could go sideways for them rather quickly and become uncontrollable. It wouldn't have to be a total "revolutionary" success, just get out of control, unable to have a long-lasting lid placed on it. Yeah, we always here "No one's gonna do jack shit" or "People will just roll over and take it, there'll be no Molon Labe". Could be quite true.....but if .gov is wrong about that it would be an epic mistake, definitely one for the history books as you said.
Think about one crackpot like Dorner out in Kali a few years back. One guy turned a shitload upside down, and there wasn't an orchestrated effort to provoke him like this would be.
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